Rethinking the Future - Six Patterns Shaping a New Renaissance - Murgatroyd, Stephen

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Résumé :
The point is simple: prediction is very difficult (if not impossible) to get right. The best we can hope for from our futurists is to draw attention to unfolding patterns and their possible implications. That's it. And that is what this book does. It was developed from a presentation given to a meeting of Fellows of the Royal Society for Arts and Manufacturing (RSA) held in Vancouver in 2011, and explores several unfolding patterns and their possible implications. I seek here to offer an interpretation of the significance of these developments in terms of unfolding and overlapping 'S' curves, and suggest that there is an opportunity for a new enlightenment or Renaissance, despite the disruption many of the patterns I describe have on our understanding of the world around us. This Renaissance can already be seen in some regions of the world, and there are signs everywhere of the change it will involve. Towards the end of the book, these examples are explored to illustrate what the new Renaissance may be like....

Biographie:
This novel is dedicated to all who encouraged me to write - teachers at junior and secondary schools in Bradford...

Sommaire:
The material in this novel is a work of fiction, but it is based on a great many facts. The description of the Legion of Christ and Regnum Christi - organizations founded by Marcial Maciel Delgado - is based on historical accounts and subsequent documentation and reports. Shocking but true. You can read more in the book Fr Marcial Maciel. Pedophile, Psychopath and Legion of Christ Founder by J. Pail Lennon. See also Vows of Silence: The Abuse of Power in the Papacy of John Paul II by Jason Berry and Gerald Renner, which was originally published in 2004 and updated in 2014. Other books on this topic include The Legion of Christ: A History by Gerald Renner and Jason Berry and A Priest's Tale: Autobiography of a Disgraced Priest by Fernando M. Gonzalez. As for the Vatican bank, Gerald Posner's account in God's Bankers: A History of Money and Power at the Vatican (2015) is well worth a read. Homosexuality in the Catholic Curia has been well documented in the book In the Closet of the Vatican - Power, Homosexuality and Hypocrisy by Frederic Martel, published in 2015. Based on 1,500 in-person interviews, which included 41 cardinals, 52 bishops and monsignors, 45 apostolic nuncios and foreign ambassadors. It is very detailed and directly references some of the issues raised in this novel. Money laundering is a truly global challenge. The estimated amount of money laundered globally in one year is 2 - 5% of global GDP, or US$800 billion - US$2 trillion in current dollars. Due to the clandestine nature of money laundering, it is difficult to estimate the total amount of money that goes through the laundering cycle. The Group of Seven (G7) nations used the Financial Action Task Force on Money Laundering to put pressure on governments around the world to increase surveillance and monitoring of financial transactions and share this information between countries. Starting in 2002, governments worldwide upgraded money laundering laws and surveillance and monitoring systems of financial transactions. Anti-money laundering regulations have become a much larger burden for financial institutions and enforcement has stepped up significantly. The Financial Action Task Force (on Money Laundering) (FATF), with members from thirty-seven countries, has been active since 1987 and Britain has been a key player. Bill Bryson did live in Kirby Malham but left to return to the United States in 1996 - three years before his appearance here....