The Primacy of Doubt - Tim Palmer

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Résumé :
A bold, visionary, and mind-bending exploration of how the geometry of chaos can explain our uncertain world - from weather and pandemics to quantum physics and free will

Covering a breathtaking range of topics - from climate change to the foundations of quantum physics, from economic modelling to conflict prediction, from free will to consciousness and spirituality - The Primacy of Doubt takes us on a unique journey through the science of uncertainty. A key theme that unifies these seemingly unconnected topics is the geometry of chaos: the beautiful and profound fractal structures that lie at the heart of much of modern mathematics. Royal Society Research Professor Tim Palmer shows us how the geometry of chaos not only provides the means to predict the world around us, it suggests new insights into some of the most astonishing aspects of our universe and ourselves. This important and timely book helps the reader makes sense of uncertainty in a rapidly changing world....

Biographie:
Tim Palmer is a Royal Society Research Professor in the Department of Physics at the University of Oxford. Following a PhD in general relativity theory, he spent much of his career working on the predictability and dynamics of weather and climate, developing probabilistic ensemble prediction systems across a range of weather and climate timescales. He also researches the foundations of quantum physics, in addition to applications of quantum and imprecise computing. He is a Fellow of the Royal Society and an International Member of the US National Academy of Sciences. Amongst other awards, he has won the Institute of Physics Dirac Gold Medal, and the top medals of the American and European Meteorological Societies.

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Sommaire:

• Preface


• 1: The Primacy of Doubt - From Two Perspectives


• Part I: The Science of Uncertainty and the Geometry of Chaos


• 2: Chaos, Chaos Everywhere


• 3: The Geometry of Chaos


• 4: Noisy, Million-Dollar Butterflies


• 5: Quantum Uncertainty - Determinism Lost?


• Part II: The Science of Uncertainty to Predict Our Chaotic World


• 6: The Two Roads to Monte Carlo


• 7: Climate Change: Catastrophe or Just Lukewarm?


• 8: Pandemics


• 9: Financial Crashes


• 10: Deadly Conflict and the Digital Ensemble of Spaceship Earth


• 11: Decisions! Decisions!


• Part III: The Science of Uncertainty to Understand Our Chaotic World


• 12: Quantum Uncertainty: Determinism Regained?


• 13: Noisy Billion-Dollar Brains


• 14: Free Will, Consciousness and Theology


• Acknowledgements


• Bibliography