Systems Reliability and Risk Analysis - Frankel, E. G.

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Biographie:
Ernst G. Frankel has a B.Sc. and M.Sc. in Mechanical Engineering, Ph.D. in Transport Economics, an MBA in Systems Management, and a DBA in Operations Research. He has been a member of the MIT engineering and management faculty from 1962 to his retirement in 1996. He has extensive management experience and served as Technical Director of Litton Industries, Director of Engineering of Sealand Corp., Operations Advisor for the Port of Singapore, Advisory Board member of the Panama Canal Authority, director of several major shipping and logistics companies, Chairman of American President Lines, Director of Operations of Pascagoula Shipyards, Advisor to Hyundai Heavy Industries (Korea), Advisor to Mitsui Shipbuilding and Engineering (Japan), and numerous other industrial firms. He has published 18 books and over 240 refereed journal articles or papers....

Sommaire:
Preface.- 1.0 Introduction.- 2.0 Fundamental Concepts.- 2.A Basic Concepts of Probability and Statistics.- 3.0 Assessment of Reliability Function.- 4.0 Reliability of Series and Parallel Systems.- Appendix 4.A A Systems Example.- 5.0 Failure Mode and Effects Analysis - Fault Tree Analyses.- 5.1 Common Cause Failure.- 5.2 Complex System Reliability Networks.- 5.3 Fault Tree Analysis.- 5.3.1 Min. Cut Sets of Fault Trees.- Appendix 5.A Performance of a Failure Mode and Effects Analysis.- Appendix 5.B Performance of a Maintainability Engineering Analysis.- 6.0 Multivariate Probability Distribution and Stochastic Processes.- 6.1 Multivariate Probability Distributions.- 6.2 Stochastic Processes.- 6.3 Markov Processes.- Appendix 6.A Introduction to Matrix Algebra.- Appendix 6.B Z-Transform Methods for Markov Chains.- Appendix 6.C Laplace Transformation.- 7.0 Testing for Markov Properties.- 7.1 Estimation of Transition Probabilities.- 7.2 Chi-Square Approximation to Multinominal Density.- 7.3 Testing Hypothesis Using Chi-Square Density.- 7.4 Test to Determine if the Observed nij's Are From a Markov Chain with Transition Probabilities Pij.- 7.5 Test to Determine Stationarity of Transition Probabilities.- 7.6 Test to Determine Independence of Observed Transition Frequencies nij.- 7.7 Test to Determine if Process is First or Second Order Markov Chain.- 7.8 Test to Determine if Markov Chains Are Identical.- 7.9 Example of Chi-Square Tests.- 7.10 The Likelihood Ratio Tests.- 7.11 Continuous Time Parameter Markov Processes.- 8.0 The Generalized Failure Process for Nonmaintained Systems.- 8.1 Solution Using Laplace Transforms.- 8.2 Stand-By (Off Line) Redundant System.- 8.3 Series System.- 8.4 Redundant (On Line) Parallel System.- 8.5 State Dependent Reliability Models.- 8.6Linear Stress Models.- 8.7 The Effect of Switching.- 9.0 Analyses of Maintained System.- 9.1 Systems Availability.- 9.2 Markov Models for Maintained Systems.- 9.3 Development of the General Expression for the Mean Time to Failure of a Markov Chain.- 9.4 Models of Maintained Systems With Redundant Off-Line Components.- Appendix 9.A Analysis of Non-Markovian Systems.- Appendix 9.B Introduction to Flowgraphs.- Appendix 9.C Introduction to GERT.- 10.0 Strategies for Repair Policies.- 10.0.1 General Repair Strategy Determination.- 10.0.2 Cost of Scheduled Overhauls and Inspections.- 10.0.3 Spare Part Inventory Provisioning.- 10.1 Use of Dynamic Programming in Systems Reliability.- 10.2 The Use of the Lagrange Multiplier Method.- 10.3 Optimum Maintenance Policies by Dynamic Programming.- 10.4 Spare Part Provisioning Models.- 10.5 Systems Performance Evaluation.- 11.0 Effects Of Component Interaction.- 11.1 Effect of Interaction of Component Reliability.- 11.2 Analysis of Wear Rates.- 11.3 Component Reliability.- 11.4 System Reliability.- 11.5 Use of Networks in the Analysis of Interactive Systems Reliability, Maintainability, and Availability.- 12.0 Application Of Fault Tree And Other Network Techniques.- 12.1 Implementation of Fault Tree Analysis.- 13.0 Reliability And Risk In Perspective.- 13.1 Analysis of Risk.- 13.2 Issues and Concerns.- Tables.- Standard Normal Curve.- Table of Exponential Functions.- Required Number of Failures.- t-Function.- Gamma Function.