Empty Planet - Darrell Bricker

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Résumé :

An award-winning journalist and leading international social researcher make the provocative argument that the global population will soon decline - and that immigration will be the key to prospering in this new social, political and economic landscape

For half a century, statisticians, pundits and politicians have warned that a burgeoning population will soon overwhelm the earth's resources. But a growing number of experts are sounding a different alarm. Rather than continuing to increase exponentially, they argue, the global population is headed for a steep decline - and in many countries that decline has already begun.

In Empty Planet, John Ibbitson and Darrell Bricker find that a smaller global population will bring with it many benefits: fewer workers will command higher wages; the environment will improve; the risk of famine will wane; and falling birthrates in the developing world will bring greater affluence and autonomy for women.

But enormous disruption lies ahead too. We can already see the effects in Europe and parts of Asia, as ageing populations and worker shortages weaken the economy and impose crippling demands on healthcare and other social services. To limit the effects of that disruption, nations must resist the growing isolationism that is leading some societies to close themselves off just as openness becomes more critical to survival than ever.

Rigorously researched and deeply compelling, Empty Planet offers a vision of a future that we can no longer prevent - but that we can shape, if we choose.